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MTF effect: Heavy erosion in small-midcap stocks

There has been heavy selling in the broader market for the past week. Especially the impact of MTF-margin trading facility has been seen. Due to the rising crude oil prices due to geopolitical tensions, selling is being seen from all sides in the stock market and due to this, the stock market is gradually falling to lower levels. In which investors working with MTF were tired of filling margins, who were still not seeing sentiment or positive trend in the market and started relaxing. This week, due to the report that investors are relaxing from MTF, there was a heavy erosion in smallcap and midcap stocks. The official figure of investment in margin trading facility-MTF is Rs. 1.80 lakh crore, while the figure of dabba trading or unofficial work is high. Due to the collapse of all these stocks, there has been a heavy erosion in the stock market. In the last seven sessions, the midcap and smallcap indices have fallen by about 8 percent and this decline is still continuing. According to experts, there are still no signs of improvement in the market, crude oil prices are increasing, the effect of which has been seen in the broader market along with heavyweight stocks. It is worth mentioning here that the broader market is more sensitive compared to index-based stocks, so if selling starts in it, it continues non-stop. Panic was also seen in both due to margin call triggers.

After IDBI Bank, preparations to sell stake in four banks have started

Govt to reduce stake in four banks to 75%, move towards privatization of Central Bank and IOB The Indian government is considering reducing its stake in four public sector banks. Not only this, some public sector banks are also thinking of privatization. These include Central Bank of India, UCO Bank, Punjab and Sindh Bank and Indian Overseas Bank. As per SEBI's minimum public shareholding requirements, the government is considering reducing its stake in these banks to 75 percent. According to sources, the government is working on a strategy for the next round of mergers of public sector banks. In which two banks are planning to privatize Central Bank and Indian Overseas Bank. According to the announcement of the government in the budget of 2021-22, apart from IDBI Bank, two other public sector banks and one general insurance company will be privatized. In which the government is moving forward. Recently, Indian-origin billionaire Prem Vatsa-owned Fairfax Financial Holdings raised Rs. 52878 crore will acquire 60.72 percent stake in IDBI Bank. The central government will retain three to four large public sector banks of the country, merging or privatizing all other banks. It may be mentioned here that currently the government's shareholding in Indian Overseas Bank is 92.44 percent, while it holds 81.19 percent in Central Bank and 93.85 percent in Punjab and Sindh Bank.

Tensions in the Middle East, an earthquake in the bond market

The country's 10-year government bond yield hit a three-year high of 7.44 percent on rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and an uncontrollable rise in crude oil prices. The previous level was seen on March 10, 2023, when headline inflation rose to 5.66 percent. This boom in the bond market did not happen overnight, but has been steadily increasing since the beginning of this year. More interest rate hikes are likely in the near future. Bond yields have increased by 40 basis points in just one month. From January 1, 2026, yields increased by a total of 85 basis points. Along with the bond market, there is a lot of activity in the foreign exchange market as well, where the rupee-dollar has weakened by about 11 paise to touch the level of Rs 94.90. The root of this entire crisis is the price of crude oil in the international market. Brent crude futures have reached $110 per barrel. Oil prices have increased by 1.74 percent in the last one day. If we look at last week's trend, crude prices have returned to the levels seen in May 2026. Although the trip to $110 has been a little slower this time around, the pressure on the economy is profound. Conditions in West Asia appear to be deteriorating once again, leading to global supply disruptions. High crude prices have increased the risk of inflation in a country like India, which imports most of its crude oil. Treasury heads of major banks in the country are keeping a close eye on the situation. He says that given the current price level of crude oil, the bond yield may go up to 7.5 percent in the future. Experts believe that the only way for bond yields to recover is for crude oil prices to come down in the international market and stay at the same low levels sustainably for a long time.

Jio IPO got oversubscribed in 100 minutes, set a new record

The IPO of Jio Platforms has created a buzz in the stock market on its first day. The country's largest IPO has received tremendous response from investors and has been flooded as soon as the IPO opens. The IPO was flooded in the first 100 minutes. Thus, Reliance Jio Platforms IPO has created a new record in the Indian stock market. It is worth mentioning here that Jio's issue size is bigger than major IPOs like Hrindai Motor India, Bajaj Housing Finance and LG Electronics India, yet it has taken very little time to splash. Earlier, the IPO of Bajaj Housing Finance was flooded by 2 pm. LG Ile. There was a flood in one day, while the IPO of Hyundai Motors was only 18 percent filled on the first day. However, the gray market premium of Jio platforms this morning is Rs. 270 to 275, it fell after reports of flooding and gray market premiums to Rs. Around 250 to 255 have been seen spoken.

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